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Us 19 Corridor

-1%
Disaster Risk
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21%
Crime Risk
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Disaster Risks

-1%

Disaster Risk is very low for Us 19 Corridor. The most significant environmental threat for this location is Storm, with a very low risk score of 0.

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Storm Risk

0% Very low risk

Us 19 Corridor has a very low Storm Events risk score. It is mainly at risk from Hurricanes posing a high risk, Tornadoes posing a severe risk.

Methodology
The Augurisk Storm Events Hazard index is defined at the U.S. Census county level. It is based on individual subscores related to tornadoes, hail, snow, tropical and extratropical storms, and blizzard. Each subscore is calculated by considering the past frequency and intensity of an event type in your area. In the case of hurricanes, the historical period was shortened to reflect shifting climate patterns in the recent decades. Different scores are available depending on the chosen threshold parameters. Each score is normalized between 0 and 100, and the global storm event score weighs each subscore by considering its annual damage on the U.S. economy.
References
NOAA's National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center, SVRGIS datasets. NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information, Snowstorm Database. Landsea, C. W. and J. L. Franklin, 2013: Atlantic Hurricane Database Uncertainty and Presentation of a New Database Format. Mon. Wea. Rev., 141, 3576-3592.
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Crime Risk

21%

Crime risk is low for Us 19 Corridor. On average, our algorithm predicts 37 violent crimes 270 property crimes, 63 acts of vandalism and 35 motor vehicle thefts this year in your block group.

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Property Crime

25% Low risk

270 predicted Property Crimes in a year

Vehicle Theft

27% Low risk

63 predicted Vehicle Thefts in a year

Violent Crime

15% Low risk

37 predicted Violent Crimes in a year

Acts of Vandalism

26% Low risk

63 predicted Acts of Vandalism in a year

Methodology
The Augurisk Crime score is defined at the Census Block Group, by taking into account yearly violent and property crimes rates per 1000 inhabitants, predicted by our machine learning algorithm between 2015 and 2019. In order to predict crime occurrences where data is unavailable, our algorithm uses over 200 socio-economic, demographic, climatic, spatial, and law enforcement predictors selected based on various insights, from multidisciplinary literature review to correlation analysis and feature engineering. The predicting model is based on and has been tested against historical high-resolution crime data collected by the Open Crime Database for around 15 cities in the US with up to 79% accuracy.
References
Ashby, M.P.J. (2019): Studying Crime and Place with the Crime Open Database. Research Data Journal for the Humanities and Social Sciences 4(1), pp. 65-80. U.S. Census Bureau: American Community Survey, 2015-2019 5-Year Estimates. Fick. S.E., and R.J. Hijmans, 2017. WorldClim 2: new 1km spatial resolution climate surfaces for global land areas. International Journal of Climatology 37(12): 4302-4315. Our algorithm has been published in an academic journal: Predicting Spatial Crime Occurrences through an Efficient Ensemble-Learning Model.

Us 19 Corridor Crime Risk Rankings

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Societal Risks

-1%

Societal risk is very low for Us 19 Corridor. The most significant societal threat for this propertyundefined

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Air Pollution Hazard

0% Very low risk

The Air Pollution Hazard Score is very low (0) for the closest AQI monitor (APOLLO BEACH), located 36.7 miles away from Us 19 Corridor.

The maximum recorded AQI over the last 3 years is Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups (109). The maximum recorded AQI over the last 3 years is Good (-1).

Methodology
The Augurisk Air Pollution hazard score is defined at the U.S. block level. It is based on the daily median and maximal air quality values recorded at the nearest U.S. EPA AQI monitor over the last 3 years. All values are normalized to a 0-100 scale. To avoid disturbances in the distribution of risk scores, specific transformations to the higher percentiles of selected variables (i.e. winsorization) were applied to the maximal recorded AQI variable.
References
AQI data was collected from the U.S. EPA AirNow program. Map data is provided by Air Now Current Monitor Data Public on ESRI. More information on the U.S. AQI computation and interpretation can be found on the AirNow website.
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Socioeconomic Risk

44% Moderate risk

The Socioeconomic risk score for Us 19 Corridor is moderate. In 2018, your county had a $51k Median Household Income and a 3.8% unemployment rate, as compared to the $51.2k and 4.13% national averages. Besides, its average educational attainment, poverty rate and income inequality levels were higher than respectively 51%, 19% and 24% of all U.S. counties.

Methodology
The Augurisk socioeconomic risk index is based on multiple indicators, the two most important being the median household income and the unemployment rate. Additional factors include the mean educational attainment, poverty rate and income inequality in various proportions based on their respective correlations and sensitivity analysis. All values are normalized to a 0-100 scale.
The socioeconomic vulnerability index shown on the map is a distinct index, created by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and based on 15 social factors. More information on the CDC SVI can be found in Flanagan et al. (2018).

References
Flanagan, B.E., E.J. Hallisey, E. Adams, and Lavery A. 2018. “Measuring Community Vulnerability to Natural and Anthropogenic Hazards: The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s Social Vulnerability Index.” Journal of Environmental Health 80(10):34–37. United States Department of Agriculture Economic Research Service: county-level datasets. University of Wisconsin Population Health Institute. County Health Rankings & Roadmaps 2019. countyhealthrankings.org.

Healthcare Infrastructure

-1% Very low risk

The nearest primary acute care or critical access hospital is located 0.56 miles away. The county hosts 1 hospital per 83.4K inhabitants, as opposed to the 1 per 66.9K national average.

Methodology
The Augurisk Healthcare Infrastructure risk index is based on multiple risk components, including the number of health practitioners in your county, the distance to the nearest primary acute care or critical access hospital in the HIFLD Hospitals Database, and the size of the nearest hospital as expressed by its number of beds. All values are normalized to a 0-100 scale.
References
Homeland Infrastructure Foundation-Level Data: Hospitals at this link. University of Wisconsin Population Health Institute. County Health Rankings & Roadmaps 2019. www.countyhealthrankings.org.

Us 19 Corridor Societal Risk Rankings

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Although the information found on this system and the Site has been produced and processed from sources believed to be reliable, no warranty, express or implied, is made regarding accuracy, adequacy, completeness, legality, reliability or usefulness of any information or predictions provided.