Disaster Risks
Disaster Risk is for Macon Bibb County. The most significant environmental threat for this locationundefined
Hide detailsCrime Risk
Crime risk is moderate for Macon Bibb County. On average, our algorithm predicts 876 violent crimes 3495 property crimes, 1056 acts of vandalism and 438 motor vehicle thefts this year in your block group.
Hide detailsProperty Crime
3495 predicted Property Crimes in a year
Vehicle Theft
1056 predicted Vehicle Thefts in a year
Violent Crime
876 predicted Violent Crimes in a year
Acts of Vandalism
1056 predicted Acts of Vandalism in a year
The Augurisk Crime score is defined at the Census Block Group, by taking into account yearly violent and property crimes rates per 1000 inhabitants, predicted by our machine learning algorithm between 2015 and 2019. In order to predict crime occurrences where data is unavailable, our algorithm uses over 200 socio-economic, demographic, climatic, spatial, and law enforcement predictors selected based on various insights, from multidisciplinary literature review to correlation analysis and feature engineering. The predicting model is based on and has been tested against historical high-resolution crime data collected by the Open Crime Database for around 15 cities in the US with up to 79% accuracy.
References
Ashby, M.P.J. (2019): Studying Crime and Place with the Crime Open Database. Research Data Journal for the Humanities and Social Sciences 4(1), pp. 65-80. U.S. Census Bureau: American Community Survey, 2015-2019 5-Year Estimates. Fick. S.E., and R.J. Hijmans, 2017. WorldClim 2: new 1km spatial resolution climate surfaces for global land areas. International Journal of Climatology 37(12): 4302-4315. Our algorithm has been published in an academic journal: Predicting Spatial Crime Occurrences through an Efficient Ensemble-Learning Model.
Societal Risks
Societal risk is for Macon Bibb County. The most significant societal threat for this propertyundefined
Hide detailsAir Pollution Hazard
The Air Pollution Hazard Score is very low (0) for the closest AQI monitor (Warner Robins), located 15.15 miles away from Macon Bibb County.
The maximum recorded AQI over the last 3 years is Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups (109). The maximum recorded AQI over the last 3 years is Good (0).
The Augurisk Air Pollution hazard score is defined at the U.S. block level. It is based on the daily median and maximal air quality values recorded at the nearest U.S. EPA AQI monitor over the last 3 years. All values are normalized to a 0-100 scale. To avoid disturbances in the distribution of risk scores, specific transformations to the higher percentiles of selected variables (i.e. winsorization) were applied to the maximal recorded AQI variable.
References
AQI data was collected from the U.S. EPA AirNow program. Map data is provided by Air Now Current Monitor Data Public on ESRI. More information on the U.S. AQI computation and interpretation can be found on the AirNow website.
Socioeconomic Risk
The Socioeconomic risk score for Macon Bibb County is high. In 2018, your county had a $39k Median Household Income and a 4.5% unemployment rate, as compared to the $51.2k and 4.13% national averages. Besides, its average educational attainment, poverty rate and income inequality levels were higher than respectively 49%, 41% and 51% of all U.S. counties.
The Augurisk socioeconomic risk index is based on multiple indicators, the two most important being the median household income and the unemployment rate. Additional factors include the mean educational attainment, poverty rate and income inequality in various proportions based on their respective correlations and sensitivity analysis. All values are normalized to a 0-100 scale.
The socioeconomic vulnerability index shown on the map is a distinct index, created by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and based on 15 social factors. More information on the CDC SVI can be found in Flanagan et al. (2018).
References
Flanagan, B.E., E.J. Hallisey, E. Adams, and Lavery A. 2018. “Measuring Community Vulnerability to Natural and Anthropogenic Hazards: The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s Social Vulnerability Index.” Journal of Environmental Health 80(10):34–37. United States Department of Agriculture Economic Research Service: county-level datasets. University of Wisconsin Population Health Institute. County Health Rankings & Roadmaps 2019. countyhealthrankings.org.
Healthcare Infrastructure
The nearest primary acute care or critical access hospital is located 3.79 miles away. The county hosts 1 hospital per 39.2K inhabitants, as opposed to the 1 per 66.9K national average.
The Augurisk Healthcare Infrastructure risk index is based on multiple risk components, including the number of health practitioners in your county, the distance to the nearest primary acute care or critical access hospital in the HIFLD Hospitals Database, and the size of the nearest hospital as expressed by its number of beds. All values are normalized to a 0-100 scale.
References
Homeland Infrastructure Foundation-Level Data: Hospitals at this link. University of Wisconsin Population Health Institute. County Health Rankings & Roadmaps 2019. www.countyhealthrankings.org.
Although the information found on this system and the Site has been produced and processed from sources believed to be reliable, no warranty, express or implied, is made regarding accuracy, adequacy, completeness, legality, reliability or usefulness of any information or predictions provided.